Category Archives: Climate Change

Smoke Comes & Goes & Comes Again: Here’s Why

Wildfire smoke in Niagara region, St. Catharines, ON, 15 July 2026 (photo from Wikimedia)

19 July 2026

As I wrote on Friday 17 July, wildfire smoke has been plaguing the northeastern U.S. and the Great Lakes region in the U.S. and Canada.

The photo at top shows the worst day in the Niagara Falls area as seen in St. Catharines on Wednesday 15 July. Pittsburgh’s worst day was Friday the 17th, shown in the video below.

Wildfire smoke in Pittsburgh on 17 July 2026, video embedded from WTAE-TV Pittsburgh on YouTube

The source is nearly 1,000 forest fires in northern Minnesota and western Ontario, most of them at least a 1,000 miles away. Across the continent there are many, many more. Here’s what’s burning in North America this morning according to NASA’s Fire Information for Resource Management System US/CANADA map.

Wildfires in North America on 19 July 2026 (NASA FIRMS US/CANADA)

On Friday Pittsburgh’s air was so bad it was Hazardous (Maroon color) …

… shown on the PurpleAir map(*), Friday 17 July 2026 at 6:42am EDT. I’ve made it tiny so you won’t confuse it with today’s map. Click on the image for a larger view.

Happily the air cleared Saturday at noon and air quality improved into the Orange zone (considered a high rating but alas fairly common Pittsburgh’s Mon Valley). I went out for a walk and, though it was nice to be outdoors, it was so humid I dripped with sweat.

Today’s air quality should be even better, right? Nooooo! It’s in the Red Zone.

PurpleAir map North America as of 19 July 2026, 6:54am

Why is it worse? Why is it here at all?

This wildfire smoke comes to us on upper level winds that pass over the fire area before they reach us. (Wildfire smoke has risen that high!) This wind map from earth: a global map of wind, weather and ocean conditions shows the jet stream coming from the fire zone this morning (7:18am) and dipping south to reach us. Pittsburgh is the black dot.

screenshot, 250hPa. From earth:: a global map of wind, weather and water, 19 July 2026, 7:18am EDT

On Saturday upper level winds were coming from the Great Plains so our air was better. (I’ve added a wobbly green arrow to Saturday’s map to point this out. Pittsburgh is the black dot.)

screenshot, 500hPa. From earth:: a global map of wind, weather and water, 18 July 2026, 9am EDT

So I’m hoping the jet stream will wobble and give us good air. Then we’ll breathe easy.


And… a Huge Debt of Gratitude to Hudson Valley Weather on Facebook for their excellent description of the origin and persistence of the fires and upper-level transport. Their Facebook post is well worth a read.


p.s. (*) PurpleAir’s interactive map has a dot for each air quality monitor providing realtime data to their network. Some of the dots are government AQ monitors but most are individuals and organizations like GASP that want/need to know the air quality in their area.

Smoke in Pittsburgh

Wildfire smoke in Pittsburgh before sunset 16 July 2026 (photo by Kate St. John)

17 July 2026

Yesterday while I wrote about the raging wildfires in western Ontario, 1000 miles from Pittsburgh, their smoke was blowing in our direction. By 8:00am yesterday I could see it as faint haze. By sunset it had turned the sun orange. The smoke was so thick that John English did not need a filter to photograph the sun, complete with sunspot.

Sun in wildfire smoke, Homestead, PA, 16 July 2026 (photo by John English)

Since then the air has gotten worse and is dangerous for everyone.

The PurpleAir monitor network shows a large swath of hazardous air (maroon color) from Western Ontario through the Great Lakes to the Atlantic Ocean. Its path is amazingly well defined on the northern edge where you need only drive 50-60 miles to escape the smoke (green). I’ve drawn a white line at that edge. Click on the screenshot for a closeup of the white line. Click to see the live PurpleAir monitor map. Zoom in on their map to see the details.

PurpleAir map North America as of 17 July 2026, 6:42am

Because of Pittsburgh’s frequent industrial bad air, the Group Against Smog and Pollution (GASP) teamed up with six local organizations to place PurpleAir monitors in the gaps of Allegheny County’s air monitoring network. Here’s the GASP 06 monitor in West Oakland at 8:01am this morning, 17 July 2026. Find out more about the Allegheny County Community Air Monitoring Project here and see their real-time data here.

GASP 06 Monitor in Allegheny County at 17 July 2026 8:01am

Observations:

Distant landmarks outside my window have disappeared. Notice the water tower in the sunrise picture is gone today.

I have seen very few birds flying. No hawks, no finches, no sparrows. Three chimney swifts came out this morning to check the air and went back to their roost. No swifts flying now.

Having lived in the Mon Valley airshed, I am all too familiar with the smell of Pittsburgh’s bad air. Yesterday it I was momentarily amazed the air does not smell like sulfur.

Indoor air quality is better that outdoors, but not best. Yesterday afternoon at 4pm I turned on my air filter and found out we were in the Red Zone. I’ve left it running since.

Indoor air quality on 16 July 2026, 4pm (photo by Kate St. John)

Extreme Heat Through Saturday+ in Pittsburgh

Deep orange sky, hot sun (photo from Wikimedia Commons)

2 July 2026

We’ve been living with extreme heat in Pittsburgh since Monday and we’re learning to cope, but it’s worth pointing out Extreme Heat will continue in the City and Allegheny Valley through Sunday 5 July.

We won’t really be out of the furnace until the work week begins on Monday. See slideshow below. Click on a slide to zoom it. ๐Ÿ™

National Digital Forecast, HeatRisk experimental, centered on Pittsburgh PA
Fri 3 July through Mon 6 July 2026

Get the current and forecast heat risk by zip code, including actions you can take to protect yourself, at CDC Heat Risk.

p.s. If you want to help birds in this heat, set out a bird bath or mister.

4 Seasons in 4 Days

Greek Valerian on a Spring day at Brush Creek, 16 April 2026 (photo from Kate St. John)

22 April 2026, Earth Day

Spring, Summer, Fall, Winter. Pittsburgh had all four seasons in just four days, 17 to 20 April, 2026.

The graph below shows the rising and falling temperature in pale blue.

  • 17 April: Spring, though a bit warm
  • 18 April: Summer with a high of 82ยฐF
  • 19 April: Autumn low of 39ยฐF, high 51ยฐF
  • 20 April: Winter. It certainly felt like winter! Low 34ยฐF, high 47ยฐF with a stiff wind that dropped the windchill. Winter persisted to 21 April when the low was 29ยฐF.
Graph of Temperature, Dew point and Relative humidity for 17 April to 21 April, 2026 at Allegheny County Airport (graph from weather.gov)

Every day we had to dress for a different season and quickly learned not to put away our winter clothes.

Spring, 17 April: On the day it was Spring the flowers bloomed and we wore long sleeves and light jackets.

Corn salad at Brush Creek, 16 April 2026 (photo by Kate St. John)

Summer, 18 April: On the day it was Summer, summer flowers bloomed and went to seed.

Shepherd’s purse with seed pods near the Frick Environmental Education Center, 18 April 2026 (photo by Kate St. John)

We wore our summer clothes to the Frick Park Environmental Education Center’s 10th Anniversary celebration with Tessa, Brooke and Delia. It was 82ยฐF.

Tessa, Brooke and Delia at the Frick Park EEC celebration, 18 April 2026 (photo by Charity Kheshgi)

Autumn, 19 April: On the day it was Fall the plants could not pivot so quickly to fall colors. They were still spring green.

American elm leaves at Schenley Park, 17 April 2026 (photo by Kate St. John)

Winter, 20 April: On the day it was Winter — only two days after Summer — it was so cold at Raccoon Creek Wildflower Preserve that we wore our winter clothes. (I had on two hats, two scarves and double mittens.) Brrrr!

me, Barb Griffith, Donna Foyle, Debbie Kalbfleisch at Raccoon Creek Wildflower Reserve on a wintry April day, 20 April 2026 (photo by Donna Collette)

In keeping with the winter theme we found fallen oak leaves and partridge berry fruit.

Partridge berry fruit, Raccoon WFR, 20 April 2026 (photo by Kate St. John)

This shagbark hickory knew Spring wasn’t here yet. It continued to protect its new leaves.

Shagbark hickory bud, Raccoon Creek in background, Raccoon WFR, 20 April 2026 (photo by Kate St. John)

However, the ground looked like Spring anyway.

Jennings Trail at Raccoon Wildflower Preserve, 20 April 2026 (photo by Kate St. John)

56 years ago, on the first Earth Day, the seasons changed slowly. Now that we’re dealing with climate change the weather changes abruptly. Four seasons in four days.

This Friday 24 April it will be Summer again (81ยฐF).


p.s. The trail pictured above was completely flooded on 27 March yet fully recovered by 20 April. See photo/video of 27 March on Facebook –> flood at Raccoon Creek Wildflower Reserve.

p.p.s. I corrected the names in this article on 26 April — people on our Frick outing.

The Crocus Report

Woodland crocus in a lawn on Neville Street, 7 Mar 2026 (photo by Kate St. John)

8 March 2026

The woodland crocuses (Crocus tommasinianus) on Neville Street have been blooming for a couple of days but I didn’t notice until yesterday. My guess at their bloom date is Thursday 5 March.

This is not unexpected. The weather had been above 50ยฐF for four days and yesterday topped out at 78.8ยฐF!

Woodland crocus in a lawn on Neville Street, 7 Mar 2026 (photo by Kate St. John)

During last year’s photo shoot many bees were visiting the flowers. None this year. ๐Ÿ™

Woodland crocus in a lawn on Neville Street, 7 Mar 2026 (photo by Kate St. John)

How does this yearโ€™s crocus bloom date compare to those in the past?

Crocus First-Bloom Dates in Pittsburghโ€™s East End range from late February to the first three weeks of March.

This year follows the early trend but is well within the cluster. Interestingly, the dates in February are earlier each time they occur. Repeated dates are circled in green.

2025 calendar from timeanddate.com showing Crocus blooming dates in Pittsburghโ€™s East End, 2009-2025

Flowers are popping up all over.

Breaking Up Is Easy in the Iceberg Graveyard

Iceberg A23a in Weddell Sea, 30 Nov 2023 (photo from Sentinel-2 satellite via Wikimedia Commons)

16 January 2026

A year ago the world’s largest iceberg was on a collision course with South Georgia Island, home to millions of penguins including king and macaroni species. A23a was larger than Rhode Island back then and if it lodged against the South Georgia shore it would block ocean access for all the penguins and they would starve.

In February 2025, A23a (the square white thing) seemed to dwarf South Georgia Island.

Iceberg A23a near South Georgia Island, 21 Feb 2025 (image from MODIS satellite, photo on Wikimedia)

But the dire predictions never materialized.

As NASA satellites continued to track A23a, it wandered and spun its way around South Georgia Island, then struck bottom west of the island in March 2025 where it has been melting in place ever since.

NASA map of A23a’s path up to 16 Nov 2024. I drew the remainder of the path to Jan 2026 by consulting other maps. South Georgia Island is highlighted in yellow.

NASA sometimes describes this area of the South Atlantic as the “iceberg graveyard.”

Water at this latitudeโ€”about 54 degrees Southโ€”is generally warmer than the Southern Ocean [that surrounds Antarctica] and is deadly for icebergs. When Southern Hemisphere winter ends in late September / early October the return of abundant sunlight further warms the water. The lack of sea ice in the vicinity of an iceberg implies that the water is above the freezing point.

— (paraphrased) NASA: A Place Where Icebergs go to Die

This month it was obvious, even from satellite, that A23a is disintegrating. Meltwater is ponding on the surface — visible as blue water — and trickling through the cracks in the ice, further weakening it.

Meltwater turns A23a blue, 26 December 2025 (satellite image from NASA)

This closeup shows striations and melt ponds.

Meltwater turns A23a blue, 27 December 2025 (satellite image from NASA)

Poseidon Expeditions paid a visit to A23a before the surface turned blue.

video embedded from Poseidon Expeditions on YouTube

By now A23a is 40 years old but its days are numbered. Breaking up is easy to do in the iceberg graveyard.

Polar Vortex Repeats

4 December 2025

The term Polar Vortex came into popular use about 12 years ago when Earth’s normally well behaved jet stream went wobbly and forced arctic air into the continental U.S. The high temperature map on 6 January 2014 indicated -20ยฐF in Minnesota!

U.S. maximum temperature map for January 6, 2014 (graphic from NOAA)
U.S. maximum temperature map for January 6, 2014 (graphic from NOAA)

This week forecasters are talking “Polar Vortex” because the jet stream is wobbling again and we’re seeing the same effect. The slideshow at top is our low temperature series for today through next Tuesday 9 December. Pittsburgh’s highs will be below normal, hovering just above and below freezing.

It was much much colder in January 2014 but the difference this year is that it’s happening sooner, in some places setting temperature records for early December. And it repeats with very cold lows in Pittsburgh on the 4th & 5th, not so bad on 6th & 7th, and back again on 8th & 9th.

video embedded from AccuWeather on YouTube

Considering the repetition, if it’s so cold now will it be even worse six weeks later in mid January? Maybe not.

Sometimes a polar vortex brings unusually hot air. In mid January 2020 it was 70ยฐF in Pittsburgh. Heat doesn’t look likely but we can hope. ๐Ÿ˜‰

Birds Are Shrinking and This is Normal

Examining wing of Tennessee warbler during banding, Bird Lab at Hays Woods, 16 Sep 2025 (photo by Kate St. John)

30 September 2025. Old news but worth a look.

Lots of data is collected when a bird is banded or collected in a museum including species, sex, age, weight, wing and tarsus length. When nearly half a century of this data was analyzed at Powdermill in 2010 and at Chicago’s Field Museum in 2019 it became apparent that very slowly, over a period of nearly half a century, North American birds have been shrinking and in many cases their wings are getting longer.

Measuring the wing of Lincoln sparrow during banding (photo from Wikimedia Commons)

The Powdermill and Field Museum studies both found a correlation between size change and the annual mean summer temperature of the species’ breeding range. They reached the same conclusion: As the climate heats up, migratory birds are getting smaller.

What about birds that never migrate?

A similar study in 2021 at the Amazon Biodiversity Center in Brazil analyzed 40 years of data on 77 species and found the same thing. Nearly every non-migratory species became smaller and 1/3 of them had longer wings. Warmer climate was the only known variable at that site.

Golden-crowned spadebill banding, Amazonian Ecuador (photo from Wikimedia Commons)

So many places on Earth are getting warmer, even the Amazon as shown on this temperature anomaly map from 2024.

Earth’s surface temperature anomaly in 2024, plus graph of the last 48 years of temperature anomalies relative to 20th century average temperature (from NOAA)

The birds are shrinking and this is normal. Very slowly, as their home territories heat up, bird bodies are following Bergmann’s Rule regarding body size and temperature.

Bergmannโ€™s Rule: Within a species, populations living in colder climates have larger body size than those in warmer climates. Large animals have a lower surface-area-to-volume ratio so they lose heat more slowly in cold climates. Small animals have a higher surface-to-volume ratio and cool off faster when itโ€™s hot.

To see this side-by-side, check out these song sparrows (Melospiza melodia) in the Carnegie Museum of Natural Historyโ€™s Section of Birds. Song sparrows collected in Pennsylvania (on the left) are small and in Alaska (right) are large. Southern : warm : small. Northern : cold : large.

Song sparrow geographic size difference, Pennsylvania on left, Alaska on right from Carnegie Museum of Natural History Collection (photo by Kate St. John, Dec 2016)

Birds are adapting to climate change generation after generation.

The Drought Worsens

Drought grass and dead leaves at Frick Park, 20 Sept 2025 (photo by Kate St. John)

21 September 2025

In early August I started to notice drooping plants and drought-like conditions in my Pittsburgh neighborhood but U.S. Drought Monitor and the rainfall meter at Pittsburgh International Airport said everything was fine. Here in Pittsburgh’s East End we were in a localized drought. The rain clouds kept parting before they got here.

Since then it hasn’t rained anywhere in the area except for a bit on 4 September. The ground is brown, leaves are falling early, and it is still sunny and hot. Yesterday was 85ยฐ.

Drought: Playing field at Frick Park, 20 Sept 2025 (photo by Kate St. John)

By mid September we should have had 30 inches of precipitation in Pittsburgh. Instead we’ve had only 25.83 and the entire deficit has occurred since mid July.

U.S. Drought Monitor‘s national drought assessment map now shows parts of our area in Extreme Drought (red). Our area is circled in pink on the disjoint map below.

Maps from U.S. Drought Monitor at UNL

Will it end soon? The Weather Service predicts at 50% chance of rain on Monday night for a possible total of 0.39 inches and showers on Thursday that might drop more than 0.85 inches. But in my experience a 50% chance of rain during a drought is just wishful thinking.

We’ll see.

p.s. Why the disjoint map? The tri-state area of Ohio, western PA and West Virginia is split into two regions by U.S. Drought Monitor along the Ohio River and at the PA-OH line.

Seen This Week: Drought and Insects

Gabrielle Marsden releases a zebra swallowtail at Schenley Park, 31 August 2025 (photo by Kate St. John)

6 September 2025

This week I couldn’t help but notice the landscape looks very dry and plants are wilting.

Unwatered grass is brown in the drought, 2 September 2025 (photo by Kate St. John)
Orange jewelweed at Schenley Park is wilting in the drought, 31 August 2025 (photo by Kate St. John)

And now it’s official. Pennsylvania is in a moderate drought in Elk, Cameron, northwest Clearfield, western Allegheny, Beaver and Greene counties. Notice the pink arrows I added to this map from U.S. Drought Monitor at UNL.

Northeastern U.S. Drought Monitor map from unl.edu as of 2 Sept 2025

Dry weather hasn’t stopped the insects.

Gabrielle Marsden (@gobbism on Instagram) raises many kinds of butterflies, especially zebra swallowtails. She brought three adults to Schenley Park to release during the Botanical Society walk last Sunday. (See top photo) The butterflies’ host plant, the pawpaw tree, grows in Schenley.

Zebra swallowtails ready for release, 31 August 2025 (photo by Kate St. John)

Botanical Society of Western Pennsylvania walks focus on plants but the outings do not ignore the rest of nature. Bugs are often associated with specific plants so when we found cool bugs we took a look … and found a planthopper. He was easy to see because his bright green disguise doesn’t work in a drought.

Planthopper is too gren for the drought.

We also found the remnants of a scissor-grinder cicada who left his exoskeleton behind on a leaf.

Scissor-grinder cicada exoskeleton, Schenley Park, 31 Aug 2025 (photo by Kate St. John)

Sometimes the bugs found us. Steve Tirone had to stop in his tracks to avoid hurting the katydid on his shoe.

Katydid on Steve’s shoe, Schenley Park, 31 Aug 2025 (photo by Kate St. John)

p.s. I forgot to tell you what we saw on the Schenley Park outing last Sunday, 31 August.

Schenley Park outing, 31 August 2025 (photo by Kate St. John)

The birds were quiet and generally hard to find. We saw only 15 species. Best Birds were two immature red-tailed hawks that chased each other.

Canada Goose (Branta canadensis) 75 on Flagstaff Hill
Mourning Dove (Zenaida macroura) 3
Red-tailed Hawk (Buteo jamaicensis) 2 Immature hawks lazily chasing each other up the creek
Red-bellied Woodpecker (Melanerpes carolinus) 3
Downy Woodpecker (Dryobates pubescens) 2
Northern Flicker (Colaptes auratus) 6
Least Flycatcher (Empidonax minimus) 1
Blue Jay (Cyanocitta cristata) 8
Tufted Titmouse (Baeolophus bicolor) 1
European Starling (Sturnus vulgaris) 20
American Robin (Turdus migratorius) 25
House Finch (Haemorhous mexicanus) 16
American Goldfinch (Spinus tristis) 3
Song Sparrow (Melospiza melodia) 4 Adult & fledgling were not the color we expected. Both had a rumpled appearance as if they got dirty somehow.
Northern Cardinal (Cardinalis cardinalis) 4

View this checklist online at https://ebird.org/checklist/S270721752